Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 3.035314 3.628344 4.290938 5.083832 6.004434 7.037136 8.280705
2025-11-02 2.080727 2.804683 3.700115 4.879887 6.383044 8.222897 10.632536
2025-11-09 1.512485 2.258715 3.264126 4.698061 6.667079 9.248938 12.857877
2025-11-16 1.194118 1.948063 3.040682 4.705869 7.137603 10.508805 15.472181
2025-11-23 0.968870 1.711856 2.861001 4.717496 7.577026 11.734422 18.129473
2025-11-30 0.788914 1.502131 2.673901 4.670701 7.897961 12.793369 20.620736
2025-12-07 0.619270 1.270234 2.405302 4.442577 7.890999 13.337021 22.367672
2025-12-14 0.516459 1.133691 2.269319 4.404089 8.167711 14.324185 24.859506
2025-12-21 0.436840 1.023189 2.158331 4.386714 8.466572 15.359467 27.498705
2025-12-28 0.403123 0.997788 2.199538 4.645643 9.266262 17.282568 31.734879
2026-01-04 0.359556 0.941855 2.171251 4.766786 9.825487 18.836282 35.462014
2026-01-11 0.329268 0.909125 2.183729 4.966041 10.544646 20.720047 39.887571
2026-01-18 0.284910 0.835044 2.100436 4.967395 10.898794 22.003396 43.400235
2026-01-25 0.234431 0.733679 1.940176 4.785640 10.873167 22.589651 45.711099
2026-02-01 0.193236 0.645818 1.794463 4.612367 10.840738 23.152835 48.013244
2026-02-08 0.168733 0.597819 1.734833 4.621735 11.185128 24.460686 51.796927
2026-02-15 0.147850 0.554903 1.680050 4.633702 11.533745 25.800216 55.730370
2026-02-22 0.127466 0.507836 1.605837 4.587809 11.747932 26.882561 59.232338
2026-03-01 0.103577 0.441935 1.468021 4.363346 11.532007 27.060609 60.944077
2026-03-08 0.089652 0.406022 1.407061 4.325484 11.741596 28.141136 64.548700
2026-03-15 0.078274 0.375806 1.356865 4.308390 11.997301 29.336920 68.466361
2026-03-22 0.075394 0.377647 1.404301 4.563218 12.939042 32.091781 75.814217
2026-03-29 0.069289 0.364681 1.403182 4.682452 13.555316 34.168880 81.848235